Sharpe Ratio Singapore: How to Measure Investment Risk vs Return
The Sharpe Ratio is the single most widely used metric for measuring risk-adjusted investment performance. It tells you how much excess return you earn per unit of risk. For Singapore investors comparing S-REITs, ETFs, robo-advisors, or individual stocks, understanding the Sharpe Ratio helps identify whether higher returns are coming from skill or simply from taking more risk. Not financial advice.
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What Is the Sharpe Ratio?
The Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted performance metric developed by Nobel Prize winner William F. Sharpe in 1966. It measures how much excess return (above the risk-free rate) an investment earns per unit of total risk (standard deviation). It is the standard tool for comparing portfolios, funds, and individual assets on a risk-adjusted basis.
Sharpe Ratio Formula
Sharpe Ratio = (Rp − Rf) ÷ σp
Where:
- Rp = Portfolio return (annualised)
- Rf = Risk-free rate (e.g. Singapore T-bill yield or CPF OA rate)
- σp = Standard deviation of portfolio returns (annualised)
A higher Sharpe Ratio is better — it means more return per unit of risk taken.
How to Interpret the Sharpe Ratio
| Sharpe Ratio | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| Below 0 | Underperforms the risk-free rate — take less risk |
| 0 – 0.5 | Below average risk-adjusted performance |
| 0.5 – 1.0 | Acceptable — typical for diversified equity portfolios |
| 1.0 – 2.0 | Good — strong risk-adjusted performance |
| Above 2.0 | Excellent — rare for equity portfolios; common for low-volatility strategies |
Singapore Risk-Free Rate
When calculating the Sharpe Ratio for Singapore-dollar portfolios, use one of these as the risk-free rate:
- Singapore 3-month T-bill yield: ~3.0–3.5% as at Q1 2026 — the most commonly used market risk-free rate
- CPF OA rate: 2.5% — a reasonable proxy for the guaranteed risk-free return available to all Singaporeans
- Singapore Savings Bond (SSB) 1-year rate: ~2.8–3.2% — another option
The choice of risk-free rate matters — using a higher rate makes it harder for a portfolio to achieve a positive Sharpe Ratio.
Worked Example: S-REIT Portfolio
Assume a Singapore investor holds a diversified S-REIT portfolio:
- Annual total return (dividends + price change): 8.5%
- Annual standard deviation: 14%
- Risk-free rate: 3.0% (Singapore T-bill)
Sharpe Ratio = (8.5% − 3.0%) ÷ 14% = 0.39
This is a below-average Sharpe Ratio — the investor is earning only 0.39% of excess return per 1% of volatility. Contrast with a global equity ETF (VWRA) with 10% return, 16% volatility: Sharpe = (10% − 3%) ÷ 16% = 0.44 — slightly better. Compare these to CPF SA at 4%, 0% volatility: theoretically infinite Sharpe Ratio.
See also: Risk-Adjusted Return Singapore and our Best S-REITs 2026 guide.
Limitations of the Sharpe Ratio
- Assumes normal distribution of returns: Asset returns are often skewed — the Sharpe Ratio underestimates tail risk in volatile markets
- Penalises upside volatility: A stock with large positive returns but occasional dips gets penalised even though the positive swings are desirable
- Historical-only: Past Sharpe Ratios may not predict future performance
- Not useful for comparing across currencies: A USD-based portfolio and an SGD-based portfolio should not be compared directly without adjusting for FX volatility
The Sortino Ratio, which only penalises downside volatility, addresses some of these limitations. See our risk-adjusted return guide for more details.